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Final Predictions for The 93rd Academy Awards

The longest Awards Season of all time has come to an end. This Sunday, the 93rd Academy Awards will take place and the season closes up. It’s been a rollercoaster of a ride with no clear front runner until recently while some categories including Lead Actress, Adapted Screenplay, and Film Editing are a complete toss-up.

How right will I be at 11:30 PM Sunday night? We’ll find out!

Here are my predictions for this Sunday’s Academy Awards:

Best Picture
Will Win: Nomadland
Should Win: Promising Young Woman
Could Win: The Trial of the Chicago 7

Best Directing
Will/Could Win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Should Win: Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman

Best Actress in a Leading Role
Could Win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Will/Should Win: Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

Best Actor in a Leading Role
Will/Should Win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Could Win: Anthony Hopkins, The Father

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Could Win: Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Should Win: Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Will Win: Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Will/Could/Should Win: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah

Best Original Screenplay
Will/Should Win: Promising Young Woman
Could Win: The Trial of the Chicago 7

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: The Father
Could Win: Nomadland
Should Win: One Night in Miami

Best Cinematography
Could/Should Win: Mank
Will Win: Nomadland

Best Film Editing
Could Win: Sound of Metal
Will/ Should Win: The Trial of the Chicago 7

Best Animated Feature Film
Will/Could/Should Win: Soul

Best Animated Short Film
Could Win: Burrow
Will /Should Win: If Anything Happens I Love You

Best Live-Action Short Film
Could Win: The Letter Room
Will/Should Win: Two Distant Strangers

Best International Feature Film
Will/Should Win: Another Round
Could Win: Quo Vadis, Aida?

Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: My Octopus Teacher
Could/Should Win: Time

Best Documentary Short Subject
Could Win: Colette
Will/Should Win: A Concerto Is a Conversation

Best Original Score
Could Win: Mank
Will Win/Should Win: Soul

Best Original Song
Could Win: “Fight For You,” Judas and the Black Messiah
Should Win: “Husavik,” Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga
Will Win: “Speak Now,” One Night in Miami

Best Sound
Could/Should Win: Mank
Will Win: Sound of Metal

Best Costume Design
Could Win: Emma
Will/Should Win: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will Win: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Could/Should Win: Pinocchio

Best Production Design
Will/Could/Should Win: Mank

Best Visual Effects
Could Win: The Midnight Sky
Will/Should Win: Tenet

David Gonzalez
David Gonzalez is the founder and chief film critic of The Cinematic Reel (formerly Reel Talk Inc.) and host of the Reel Chronicles podcasts. A Cuban American independent film critic, David has built The Cinematic Reel around passionate, thoughtful film criticism spanning every genre, while championing diverse voices and perspectives across the industry. David is a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer-Approved Critic and currently serves as Vice President of the New Jersey Film Critics Circle (NJFCC). He is also a member of New York Film Critics Online (NYFCO), the Online Film Critics Society (OFCS), and the Latino Entertainment Journalists Association (LEJA). His festival coverage has included the Sundance Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival (TIFF), New York Film Festival (NYFF), Tribeca Festival, and SXSW, among others. Through The Cinematic Reel, David provides year-round reviews, festival coverage, awards-season analysis, interviews, and commentary on both major studio releases and independent cinema. An avid film collector, lifelong cinephile, and dedicated awards watcher, David brings an enthusiastic and knowledgeable perspective to his writing and podcasting. His criticism has been featured in film marketing campaigns and physical-media releases, further establishing The Cinematic Reel as a growing independent voice in film criticism. For screening invitations, review opportunities, festival coverage, and other press inquiries, David can be reached at david@thecinematicreel.com.

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