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Final Predictions: 97th Academy Awards

After two consecutive years of Oscar seasons that were rich of dominating Best Picture winners in the form of Everything Everywhere All At Once and Oppenheimer, this year’s Oscar season offered a different perspective and set itself up as one of the most unpredictable seasons in quite some time.

As always, there are some categories that feel like locked however, there are sure to be some surprises that will shock and awe on Hollywood’s biggest night. Here are my final predictions for who will win and who could win in each category at tonight’s 97th Academy Awards.

Best Picture

  • Will Win: Anora
  • Could Win: Conclave

Best Director

  • Will Win: Sean Baker (Anora)
  • Could Win: Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)

Best Actor

  • Will Win: Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
  • Could Win: Timothee Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)

Best Actress

  • Will Win: Demi Moore (The Substance)
  • Could Win: Mikey Madison (Anora)

Best Supporting Actor

  • Will Win: Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
  • Could Win: No One (It’s A Sweep)

Best Supporting Actress

  • Will Win: Zoe Saldana (Emilia Perez)
  • Could Win: No One (It’s A Sweep)

Best Original Screenplay

  • Will Win: Anora 
  • Could Win: A Real Pain

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Will Win: Conclave
  • Could Win: No One ( It’s A Sweep)

Best Animated Feature

  • Will Win: The Wild Robot
  • Could Win: Flow

Best International Feature

  • Will Win: I’m Still Here
  • Could Win: Emilia Perez

Best Documentary Feature

  • Will Win: Porcelan War
  • Could Win: No Other Land

Best Cinematography

  • Will Win: The Brutalist
  • Could Win: Nosferatu

Best Film Editing

  • Will Win: Conclave
  • Could Win: Anora

Best Production Design

  • Will Win: Wicked
  • Could Win: No One (It’s A Sweep)

Best Costume Design

  • Will Win: Wicked
  • Could Win: No One (It’s A Sweep)

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

  • Will Win: The Substance
  • Could Win: No One (It’s A Sweep)

Best Visual Effects

  • Will Win: Dune: Part II
  • Could Win: No One (It’s A Sweep)

Best Sound

  • Will Win: Dune Part II
  • Could Win: Wicked

Best Original Score

  • Will Win: The Brutalist
  • Could Win: The Wild Robot

Best Original Song

  • Will Win: El Mal – Emilia Perez
  • Could Win: The Journey – The Six Triple Eight

Best Live Action Short

  • Will Win: A Lien
  • Could Win: The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent

Best Animated Short

  • Will Win: Yuck!
  • Could Win: Wander To Wonder

Best Documentary Short

  • Will Win: The Only Girl In The Orchestra
  • Could Win: I Am Ready, Warden

David Gonzalez
David Gonzalez is the founder and chief film critic of The Cinematic Reel (formerly Reel Talk Inc.) and host of the Reel Chronicles podcasts. A Cuban American independent film critic, David has built The Cinematic Reel around passionate, thoughtful film criticism spanning every genre, while championing diverse voices and perspectives across the industry. David is a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer-Approved Critic and currently serves as Vice President of the New Jersey Film Critics Circle (NJFCC). He is also a member of New York Film Critics Online (NYFCO), the Online Film Critics Society (OFCS), and the Latino Entertainment Journalists Association (LEJA). His festival coverage has included the Sundance Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival (TIFF), New York Film Festival (NYFF), Tribeca Festival, and SXSW, among others. Through The Cinematic Reel, David provides year-round reviews, festival coverage, awards-season analysis, interviews, and commentary on both major studio releases and independent cinema. An avid film collector, lifelong cinephile, and dedicated awards watcher, David brings an enthusiastic and knowledgeable perspective to his writing and podcasting. His criticism has been featured in film marketing campaigns and physical-media releases, further establishing The Cinematic Reel as a growing independent voice in film criticism. For screening invitations, review opportunities, festival coverage, and other press inquiries, David can be reached at david@thecinematicreel.com.

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